MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Avg target $62 (last qtr, 15 analysts) → $62 (last mo, 4) (-0.9%).
Buy-rated share 81% → 93% over ~3 months (+11pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.40 | $1.57 | +12.1% |
| May 2026 | $1.06 | $1.04 | -1.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.81 | $0.82 | +1.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.93 | $1.04 | +11.8% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.86 | $0.84 | -2.8% |
| May 2025 | $1.24 | $1.21 | -2.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.00 | $1.16 | +16.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.09 | $1.10 | +0.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.2B— | $19.2B+57.0% | $15.3B-20.4% | $15.9B+4.5% | $17.2B+7.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.18— | $9.12+118.2% | $5.84-36.0% | $4.57-21.7% | $4.20-8.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.9B— | $3.4B+17.7% | $2.6B-23.7% | -$853M-132.8% | $2.8Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 30.1% | 43.7%+13.5pp | 35.2%-8.5pp | 29.5%-5.6pp | 25.5%-4.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 26.6% | 41.3%+14.7pp | 32.4%-8.9pp | 26.2%-6.1pp | 22.4%-3.8pp |
| Net Margin | 23.0% | 31.4%+8.3pp | 24.6%-6.8pp | 18.1%-6.4pp | 15.4%-2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$5.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 4.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.5B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.8B) · equity value $31.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for Devon Energy Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's value and growth prospects offset by concerns around profitability and risk. The stock scores high on value, trading at a P/E of 10.5 and P/B of 1.0, and exhibits strong growth in free cash flow, up 427.9%. However, profitability metrics such as ROE and ROA are relatively low, at 14.9% and 4.6%, respectively, which weighs on the overall score, while momentum is mixed, with a 12-month return of 32.6% but a recent 3-month decline of 5.8%.