MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$51.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 15 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $108 (last qtr, 16 analysts) → $110 (last mo, 3) (+1.7%).
Buy-rated share 96% → 96% over ~3 months (-0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $1.49 | $1.56 | +4.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.58 | $0.64 | +10.3% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.53 | $1.55 | +1.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.57 | $1.71 | +8.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.06 | $2.10 | +1.9% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.38 | $0.46 | +20.9% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.74 | $1.85 | +6.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.52 | $1.50 | -1.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $29.9B— | $50.6B+69.2% | $58.0B+14.8% | $61.6B+6.2% | $63.4B+2.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.44— | $2.06+368.2% | $7.17+248.1% | $5.33-25.7% | $7.66+43.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $16M— | -$2M-112.5% | $1.1Bn/m | $2.9B+152.8% | $3.8B+33.2% |
| Gross Margin | 7.1% | 22.1%+14.9pp | 26.7%+4.7pp | 26.9%+0.1pp | 22.8%-4.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 6.3% | 7.2%+0.9pp | 9.5%+2.3pp | 9.7%+0.2pp | 9.2%-0.5pp |
| Net Margin | 0.9% | 2.6%+1.7pp | 7.9%+5.3pp | 5.6%-2.3pp | 7.9%+2.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.7%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $2.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.8B) · equity value $60.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 58 for Delta Air Lines indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the stock scoring high on value and momentum, driven by its P/E of 15.0 and a 12-month return of 55.9%. The stock's growth and profitability scores are more moderate, with revenue growth of 2.8% and an ROE of 19.3%. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some near-term momentum, with the stock exhibiting strong price appreciation over the past year.