MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $195.9B— | $227.0B+15.8% | $242.3B+6.8% | $254.5B+5.0% | $275.2B+8.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $11.27— | $13.14+16.6% | $14.16+7.8% | $16.56+16.9% | $18.21+10.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.4B— | $3.5B-34.8% | $6.7B+92.7% | $6.6B-1.7% | $7.8B+18.2% |
| Gross Margin | 12.9% | 12.1%-0.7pp | 12.3%+0.1pp | 12.6%+0.4pp | 12.8%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 3.4% | 3.4%+0.0pp | 3.3%-0.1pp | 3.6%+0.3pp | 3.8%+0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 2.6% | 2.6%+0.0pp | 2.6%+0.0pp | 2.9%+0.3pp | 2.9%+0.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 6.9%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $7.1B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $7.8B) · equity value $423.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$2.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $1111 avg across 6 analysts.
Buy-rated share 58% → 59% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $5.00 | $4.93 | -1.4% |
| Mar 2026 | $4.55 | $4.58 | +0.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $4.27 | $4.34 | +1.6% |
| Sep 2025 | $5.80 | $5.87 | +1.2% |
| May 2025 | $4.24 | $4.28 | +0.9% |
| Mar 2025 | $4.09 | $4.02 | -1.7% |
| Dec 2024 | $3.79 | $3.82 | +0.8% |
| Sep 2024 | $5.08 | $5.15 | +1.4% |
The QScore of 52 for Costco Wholesale Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The company scores high on growth, driven by revenue and earnings per share growth of 8.2% and 9.9%, respectively, as well as strong free cash flow growth of 18.2%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 48.0, and exhibits weak momentum, having declined 3.8% over the past year, which pulls its overall score down. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a slight divergence of 3 points.