HIGH confidence: 100% data completeness across all factors and the composite score (27) is in decisive short territory. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0— | $3Mn/m | $127M+4076.6% | $151M+19.3% | $224M+48.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.36— | $-0.16n/m | $-0.10n/m | $-0.14n/m | $-2.15n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$37M— | -$249Mn/m | -$149Mn/m | -$227Mn/m | -$696Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | — | 75.4% | 60.3%-15.0pp | 18.6%-41.8pp | 28.4%+9.8pp |
| Operating Margin | — | -1232.2% | -15.9%+1216.3pp | -28.9%-13.0pp | -150.7%-121.8pp |
| Net Margin | — | -1285.9% | -20.3%+1265.6pp | -29.5%-9.2pp | -367.2%-337.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $37 (last qtr, 9 analysts) → $42 (last mo, 4) (+14.9%).
Buy-rated share 100% → 100% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $-0.27 | $-0.28 | -3.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $-0.12 | $-1.92 | -1500.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $-0.08 | $-0.01 | +87.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $-0.12 | $-0.12 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $-0.11 | $-0.11 | +0.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $-0.10 | $0.06 | +160.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $-0.08 | $-0.26 | -225.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $-0.05 | $-0.05 | +0.0% |
Net insider -$84.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 18 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 27 for CIFR indicates a relatively weak overall profile, driven down by poor Value and Profitability scores, with the company trading at a significant premium on some metrics, such as P/B of 14.7, and exhibiting severely negative profitability metrics, including an ROE of -117.6%. In contrast, the stock scores high on Momentum, with a 12-month return of 573.8% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. Notably, the long-term score of 14 diverges significantly from the short-term score of 40, suggesting a potential disconnect between the company's fundamental prospects and its recent price action.