MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (37) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$53.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 78 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $582 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $674 (last mo, 1) (+15.9%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 90% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.60 | $1.61 | +0.6% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.60 | $2.15 | +34.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.52 | $1.17 | -23.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.45 | $2.12 | +46.2% |
| May 2025 | $1.27 | $1.41 | +11.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.37 | $2.08 | +51.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.20 | $1.45 | +20.8% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.02 | $1.20 | +17.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $863M— | $1.2B+37.8% | $1.6B+31.2% | $2.1B+33.4% | $2.8B+33.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.91— | $2.03n/m | $2.33+14.8% | $4.80+106.0% | $1.51-68.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $74M— | $179M+141.5% | $129M-28.0% | $330M+155.5% | $75M-77.2% |
| Gross Margin | 61.5% | 61.2%-0.3pp | 61.2%-0.0pp | 59.6%-1.6pp | 59.7%+0.0pp |
| Operating Margin | -19.3% | 7.8%+27.2pp | 10.2%+2.4pp | 2.8%-7.4pp | -2.2%-5.0pp |
| Net Margin | -7.0% | 12.4%+19.3pp | 11.3%-1.1pp | 18.1%+6.8pp | 4.5%-13.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 37 for Axon Enterprise indicates a relatively weak overall assessment, driven down by poor value scores due to high valuation multiples such as a P/E of 197.7 and EV/EBITDA of 110.1. The stock scores high on growth, despite negative EPS and FCF growth, due to its strong revenue growth of 33.5%. A divergence between long-term and short-term scores is noted, with the short-term score being 8 points higher, potentially reflecting the stock's recent 18.8% return over the past 3 months and its exhibits strong momentum indicators.