MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Buy-rated share 0% → 0% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.27 | $0.24 | -10.8% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.26 | $0.25 | -3.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.24 | $0.11 | -54.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.25 | $0.24 | -4.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.25 | $0.26 | +5.3% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.23 | $0.25 | +9.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.24 | $0.23 | -4.2% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.23 | $0.21 | -8.7% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $969M— | $991M+2.2% | $1.1B+12.3% | $1.2B+5.8% | $1.3B+7.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.69— | $0.68-1.4% | $0.77+13.2% | $0.83+7.8% | $0.86+3.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $477M— | $184M-61.4% | $595M+223.5% | $602M+1.1% | $770M+28.0% |
| Gross Margin | 65.3% | 61.4%-3.9pp | 62.3%+0.9pp | 63.6%+1.3pp | 65.3%+1.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 57.3% | 54.5%-2.9pp | 55.0%+0.5pp | 56.0%+1.0pp | 51.2%-4.8pp |
| Net Margin | 34.2% | 32.9%-1.3pp | 33.4%+0.5pp | 34.1%+0.6pp | 32.8%-1.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$5.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 7.7%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $656M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $770M) · equity value $10.5B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 50 for Antero Midstream Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The company scores high on profitability, with a notable ROE of 20.2% and operating margin of 56.0%, and also exhibits low risk, with a beta of 0.6. However, it trades at a premium, as indicated by its value score, with a P/E of 26.3 and P/B of 5.4, and its growth score is moderate, driven by 7.0% revenue growth and 28.0% FCF growth. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.