MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $600 (last qtr, 1 analysts) → $600 (last mo, 1) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 33% → 40% over ~3 months (+7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $2.31 | $3.24 | +40.3% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.99 | $3.47 | +74.4% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.05 | $2.17 | +5.9% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.99 | $2.50 | +25.6% |
| Jun 2025 | $1.09 | $1.60 | +46.8% |
| Mar 2025 | $1.15 | $2.22 | +93.0% |
| Dec 2024 | $1.26 | $2.00 | +58.7% |
| Sep 2024 | $0.97 | $1.31 | +35.1% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $509M— | $455M-10.7% | $573M+26.0% | $874M+52.5% | $945M+8.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.40— | $2.33-2.9% | $2.39+2.6% | $6.15+157.3% | $9.73+58.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $27M— | -$33M-223.9% | $114Mn/m | $161M+41.1% | $411M+155.2% |
| Gross Margin | 19.6% | 19.0%-0.6pp | 14.1%-4.9pp | 16.1%+2.0pp | 20.5%+4.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.7% | 9.2%+0.4pp | 6.4%-2.8pp | 10.1%+3.7pp | 14.3%+4.2pp |
| Net Margin | 7.5% | 7.3%-0.2pp | 5.6%-1.6pp | 9.8%+4.1pp | 14.6%+4.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$114.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 22 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 52 for AGX indicates a neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 61 diverging significantly from the long-term score of 44. The stock's high growth and strong momentum, with revenue growth of 8.1% and a 12-month return of 266.2%, drive the short-term score up. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 65.8 and P/B of 22.6, which weighs down the value category score and contributes to the lower long-term score.