MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.5B— | $1.8B+26.8% | $1.7B-10.3% | $1.5B-10.5% | $1.8B+21.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.51— | $5.29+50.7% | $0.86-83.7% | $1.43+66.3% | $3.84+168.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $108M— | $125M+15.1% | $148M+18.6% | $74M-50.0% | $126M+70.2% |
| Gross Margin | 36.6% | 36.6%+0.0pp | 35.8%-0.8pp | 35.7%-0.1pp | 37.2%+1.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 10.4% | 12.6%+2.2pp | 6.9%-5.8pp | 2.5%-4.4pp | 10.9%+8.4pp |
| Net Margin | 9.3% | 10.8%+1.6pp | 7.7%-3.1pp | 3.7%-4.1pp | 8.2%+4.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $405 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $400 (last mo, 1) (-1.2%).
Buy-rated share 70% → 73% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.97 | $2.09 | +6.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.77 | $1.94 | +9.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.47 | $1.74 | +18.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.28 | $1.50 | +17.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.04 | $1.23 | +18.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.09 | $1.30 | +19.3% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.92 | $0.98 | +6.5% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.69 | $0.85 | +23.2% |
Net insider -$22.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 27 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 53 for AEIS suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and momentum, but tempered by high valuation and moderate profitability. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 21.4% and 172.4%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 161.2%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 68.8 and P/B of 9.5, contributing to a low value score. The long-term and short-term scores diverge slightly, with the short-term score 9 points higher, indicating some recent strength.