MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-19.
Net insider -$2.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $233 (last qtr, 13 analysts) → $226 (last mo, 9) (-3.2%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 77% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.58 | $1.70 | +7.6% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.48 | $1.70 | +14.9% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.88 | $1.01 | +14.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.76 | $0.88 | +15.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.02 | $1.07 | +4.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.99 | $1.05 | +6.1% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.65 | $0.73 | +12.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.68 | $0.89 | +30.9% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $7.2B— | $7.7B+7.2% | $7.7B+0.3% | $8.1B+4.2% | $8.2B+1.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.95— | $5.76+95.3% | $1.60-72.2% | $3.23+101.9% | $2.64-18.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $452M— | $311M-31.2% | -$851M-373.6% | $19Mn/m | $329M+1631.6% |
| Gross Margin | 7.3% | 9.5%+2.2pp | 9.9%+0.5pp | 11.3%+1.4pp | 12.0%+0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.3% | 4.9%+0.6pp | 5.7%+0.8pp | 8.2%+2.5pp | 8.9%+0.8pp |
| Net Margin | 4.7% | 8.6%+4.0pp | 2.4%-6.2pp | 4.8%+2.4pp | 3.9%-0.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 49 for XPO Logistics indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores diverging slightly. XPO scores high on momentum, driven by its +52% return over the past year, but is held back by its value category due to a P/E of 44.2 and P/B of 11.2, indicating a premium valuation. The company exhibits strong growth in free cash flow, but profitability metrics such as ROE and operating margin are moderate, contributing to the overall neutral score.