MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.1B— | $12.7B+14.4% | $12.2B-4.6% | $12.1B-0.3% | $12.2B+0.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $12.11— | $13.88+14.6% | $8.02-42.2% | $11.57+44.3% | $12.75+10.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.8B— | $2.3B-18.3% | $830M-63.5% | $1.7B+101.3% | $2.2B+29.1% |
| Gross Margin | 39.2% | 37.1%-2.0pp | 23.1%-14.0pp | 31.0%+7.9pp | 42.4%+11.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 39.2% | 37.1%-2.0pp | 23.1%-14.0pp | 31.0%+7.9pp | 32.9%+1.9pp |
| Net Margin | 27.0% | 25.7%-1.3pp | 15.0%-10.6pp | 21.6%+6.6pp | 23.6%+2.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $343 avg across 3 analysts.
Buy-rated share 23% → 24% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $3.46 | $3.62 | +4.6% |
| Jul 2026 | $3.32 | $3.52 | +6.0% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.49 | $2.65 | +6.4% |
| Jan 2026 | $2.76 | $3.22 | +16.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $3.19 | $3.30 | +3.4% |
| Jul 2025 | $3.31 | $3.29 | -0.6% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.66 | $2.69 | +1.1% |
| Jan 2025 | $2.94 | $3.04 | +3.4% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 4.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.2B) · equity value $76.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 60 for Norfolk Southern Corporation indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores of 66 and 63, respectively. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 22.5% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. However, the value score is relatively low at 49, reflecting a P/E of 28.6 and EV/EBITDA of 16.7, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, at 62 versus 57.