MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (37) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $56 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $55 (last mo, 3) (-2.0%).
Buy-rated share 100% → 100% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.76 | $0.76 | -0.5% |
| May 2026 | $0.43 | $0.55 | +27.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.29 | $0.31 | +6.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.38 | $0.40 | +5.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.38 | $0.41 | +9.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.45 | $0.54 | +20.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.41 | $0.42 | +2.4% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.47 | $0.49 | +4.3% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $504M— | $866M+71.7% | $827M-4.5% | $860M+4.0% | $1.3B+56.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.85— | $2.00+135.3% | $2.69+34.5% | $3.82+42.0% | $-0.48-112.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $26M— | $636M+2350.7% | -$270M-142.5% | -$77Mn/m | -$1.4Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 73.1% | 79.5%+6.4pp | 76.2%-3.3pp | 68.0%-8.3pp | 47.9%-20.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 71.7% | 78.6%+6.9pp | 75.0%-3.6pp | 65.9%-9.1pp | 43.0%-22.9pp |
| Net Margin | 11.5% | 17.5%+6.0pp | 24.2%+6.7pp | 41.8%+17.6pp | -5.1%-46.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$589.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 2 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
VNOM's QScore of 37 indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the short-term score slightly exceeding the long-term score. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by its 9.6% return over the past year, but is dragged down by its low value score due to a high P/E of 302.7. Additionally, VNOM's growth score is mixed, with strong revenue growth of 56.6% offset by significant declines in EPS and FCF growth. Its profitability also exhibits room for improvement, with an ROE near 1.2%.