MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$234K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.4B— | $12.9B+3.9% | $13.7B+6.3% | $13.7B+0.1% | $14.8B+8.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.30— | $4.01+21.5% | $4.56+13.7% | $4.33-5.0% | $5.11+18.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $451M— | $1.2B+171.2% | $864M-29.4% | $864M+0.0% | $884M+2.3% |
| Gross Margin | 16.8% | 20.7%+3.9pp | 20.8%+0.1pp | 18.3%-2.6pp | 18.2%-0.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 7.0% | 6.9%-0.1pp | 7.7%+0.8pp | 6.2%-1.5pp | 6.8%+0.5pp |
| Net Margin | 6.0% | 6.7%+0.7pp | 6.7%+0.0pp | 6.0%-0.7pp | 6.2%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $871M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $884M) · equity value $14.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Buy-rated share 39% → 44% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $1.43 | $1.76 | +23.1% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.55 | $1.62 | +4.5% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.30 | $1.45 | +11.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.88 | $1.31 | -30.3% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.70 | $1.73 | +1.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.46 | $1.55 | +6.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.45 | $1.55 | +6.9% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.14 | $1.28 | +12.3% |
The QScore of 57 for Textron Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on value, with a P/E of 15.4 and P/B of 1.8, indicating it trades at a reasonable price. However, its profitability score is a drag, with an ROE of 12.1% and operating margin of 8.7% being relatively modest. The long-term and short-term scores are closely aligned, indicating a consistent view of the stock's prospects.