MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $134.0B— | $120.7B-9.9% | $122.4B+1.4% | $122.3B-0.1% | $125.6B+2.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.73— | $-1.13-141.4% | $1.97n/m | $1.49-24.4% | $3.04+104.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | $25.4B— | $12.4B-51.3% | $20.5B+65.0% | $18.5B-9.5% | $19.4B+5.0% |
| Gross Margin | 54.9% | 57.9%+3.0pp | 43.7%-14.2pp | 42.9%-0.8pp | 59.6%+16.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 19.3% | -3.8%-23.1pp | 20.2%+24.0pp | 19.8%-0.4pp | 19.9%+0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 15.0% | -7.1%-22.0pp | 11.8%+18.8pp | 8.9%-2.8pp | 17.4%+8.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.59 | $0.65 | +10.2% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.55 | $0.54 | -2.2% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.46 | $0.52 | +12.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.54 | $1.29 | +140.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.53 | $0.62 | +17.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.51 | $0.60 | +18.3% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.50 | $0.54 | +8.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.57 | $-0.02 | -104.2% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 2.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $19.5B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $19.4B) · equity value $159.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 51 indicates a neutral outlook for TBB, driven by its strong profitability and value scores, which are offset by weaker growth and momentum scores. The stock trades at a relatively low P/E of 8.0 and exhibits strong profitability with an ROE of 19.5%. However, its momentum is weak, with a 12-month return of -14.5% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 4-point difference.