MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $943M— | $1.5B+55.8% | $1.6B+6.2% | $1.6B+4.9% | $1.9B+14.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.56— | $4.95+217.3% | $6.40+29.3% | $7.70+20.3% | $9.09+18.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $151M— | $179M+18.7% | $242M+35.2% | $244M+1.0% | $343M+40.5% |
| Gross Margin | 37.9% | 41.2%+3.3pp | 43.0%+1.8pp | 44.4%+1.4pp | 44.4%-0.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.8% | 19.9%+7.1pp | 21.9%+2.0pp | 22.6%+0.7pp | 22.5%-0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 5.8% | 11.3%+5.5pp | 13.5%+2.1pp | 15.0%+1.6pp | 15.4%+0.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $646 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $659 (last mo, 3) (+1.9%).
Buy-rated share 67% → 67% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $3.42 | $3.88 | +13.5% |
| May 2026 | $3.33 | $3.62 | +8.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.85 | $3.04 | +6.7% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.73 | $2.88 | +5.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.74 | $2.84 | +3.6% |
| May 2025 | $2.71 | $2.83 | +4.4% |
| Jan 2025 | $2.20 | $2.34 | +6.4% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.30 | $2.29 | -0.4% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$3.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 6 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 11.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $276M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $343M) · equity value $17.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for RBC Bearings Incorporated suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The company scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 14.3% and 17.8%, respectively, and exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 35.9%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 54.2, which weighs down its value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, indicating a consistent assessment of the stock's fundamentals.