MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $784 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $763 (last mo, 8) (-2.7%).
Buy-rated share 71% → 71% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $3.31 | $4.24 | +28.1% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.04 | $2.68 | +31.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.02 | $3.16 | +4.6% |
| Oct 2025 | $3.25 | $3.33 | +2.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.44 | $2.48 | +1.6% |
| May 2025 | $1.67 | $1.78 | +6.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.62 | $2.94 | +12.2% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.68 | $2.72 | +1.5% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $13.0B— | $17.1B+31.5% | $20.9B+22.3% | $23.7B+13.4% | $28.4B+19.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.34— | $3.32-0.6% | $5.00+50.6% | $6.03+20.6% | $6.80+12.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $196M— | $702M+258.5% | $1.1B+62.7% | $1.5B+29.4% | $1.6B+9.7% |
| Gross Margin | 13.8% | 12.7%-1.0pp | 12.7%-0.1pp | 13.2%+0.5pp | 13.0%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 5.2% | 5.6%+0.4pp | 5.4%-0.2pp | 5.6%+0.2pp | 5.8%+0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 3.7% | 2.9%-0.9pp | 3.6%+0.7pp | 3.8%+0.3pp | 3.6%-0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$123.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 27 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 12.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.4B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $1.6B) · equity value $102.3B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 51 for Quanta Services indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's strong growth and momentum offset by its relatively low value and profitability scores. The stock scores high on growth, driven by revenue growth of 19.8% and a 12-month return of 73.4%, and exhibits strong momentum, but trades at a premium with a P/E of 77.0. The long-term and short-term scores are moderately divergent, with the short-term score 6 points higher, suggesting some near-term strength. Overall, the stock's high valuation and moderate profitability metrics, including an ROE of 14.9%, contribute to its middling QScore.