MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.5B— | $1.9B+23.6% | $2.2B+16.7% | $2.9B+28.8% | $4.5B+56.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.27— | $-0.18n/m | $0.09n/m | $0.19+108.1% | $0.63+231.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $321M— | $184M-42.8% | $697M+279.4% | $1.1B+63.7% | $2.1B+84.1% |
| Gross Margin | 78.0% | 78.6%+0.6pp | 80.6%+2.1pp | 80.2%-0.4pp | 82.4%+2.1pp |
| Operating Margin | -26.7% | -8.5%+18.2pp | 5.4%+13.8pp | 10.8%+5.4pp | 31.6%+20.8pp |
| Net Margin | -33.7% | -19.6%+14.1pp | 9.4%+29.0pp | 16.1%+6.7pp | 36.3%+20.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$141.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 76 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $211 (last qtr, 19 analysts) → $243 (last mo, 8) (+14.8%).
Buy-rated share 64% → 65% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.34 | $0.41 | +19.0% |
| May 2026 | $0.29 | $0.33 | +13.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.23 | $0.25 | +8.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.17 | $0.21 | +25.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.14 | $0.16 | +15.8% |
| May 2025 | $0.13 | $0.13 | +1.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.11 | $0.14 | +27.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.09 | $0.10 | +10.3% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 70.9%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.3B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.1B) · equity value $423.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 49 for Palantir Technologies indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and profitability metrics, but also high valuation multiples. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 56.2% and 228.6%, respectively, and exhibits strong profitability with an ROE of 37.5%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 146.2, which weighs down its value score. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some recent momentum, with a 3-month return of 46.8% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average crossover.