MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net insider -$12.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 46 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $126 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $130 (last mo, 2) (+3.4%).
Buy-rated share 67% → 65% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.03 | $1.06 | +2.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.02 | $1.04 | +2.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.98 | $1.00 | +1.8% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.98 | $0.99 | +1.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.92 | $0.96 | +4.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.91 | $0.94 | +3.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.87 | $0.91 | +4.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.85 | $0.87 | +2.5% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $49.8B— | $51.6B+3.5% | $57.0B+10.6% | $53.8B-5.6% | $56.7B+5.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.50— | $2.82+12.8% | $3.07+8.9% | $2.54-17.3% | $2.55+0.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $14.8B— | $12.7B-13.6% | $19.0B+49.3% | $10.2B-46.4% | $13.3B+30.1% |
| Gross Margin | 64.0% | 62.5%-1.5pp | 62.7%+0.2pp | 64.7%+2.0pp | 64.9%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 25.8% | 27.1%+1.3pp | 26.4%-0.7pp | 22.6%-3.7pp | 20.8%-1.9pp |
| Net Margin | 21.3% | 22.9%+1.7pp | 22.1%-0.8pp | 19.2%-2.9pp | 18.0%-1.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 57 for Cisco Systems indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's strengths and weaknesses balancing out. The score is driven up by low risk, with a beta of 1.0 and moderate volatility, as well as strong momentum, exhibiting a 12-month return of 66.8%. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 37.7, and scores lower on growth, with revenue growth of 5.3% and EPS growth of 0.4%, pulling the overall score down. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.