MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$9.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 37 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $51.6B— | $57.0B+10.6% | $53.8B-5.6% | $56.7B+5.3% | $63.3B+11.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.82— | $3.07+8.9% | $2.54-17.3% | $2.55+0.4% | $3.33+30.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $12.7B— | $19.0B+49.3% | $10.2B-46.4% | $13.3B+30.1% | $14.2B+6.7% |
| Gross Margin | 62.5% | 62.7%+0.2pp | 64.7%+2.0pp | 64.9%+0.2pp | 64.5%-0.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 27.1% | 26.4%-0.7pp | 22.6%-3.7pp | 20.8%-1.9pp | 24.3%+3.5pp |
| Net Margin | 22.9% | 22.1%-0.8pp | 19.2%-2.9pp | 18.0%-1.2pp | 21.0%+3.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $132 (last qtr, 16 analysts) → $139 (last mo, 6) (+5.3%).
Buy-rated share 64% → 65% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.17 | $1.22 | +4.3% |
| May 2026 | $1.03 | $1.06 | +2.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.02 | $1.04 | +2.0% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.98 | $1.00 | +1.8% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.98 | $0.99 | +1.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.92 | $0.96 | +4.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.91 | $0.94 | +3.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.87 | $0.91 | +4.4% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 6.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $12.6B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $14.2B) · equity value $488.3B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 59 for Cisco Systems indicates a moderately attractive investment opportunity, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 75.3% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's momentum score of 62 and risk score of 79 are notable positives, while its value score of 52 is a drawback due to a P/E of 36.9. The short-term score of 62 is slightly higher than the long-term score of 57, suggesting some near-term optimism. Overall, Cisco exhibits strong momentum and low risk, but trades at a premium.