MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (59) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $508 (last qtr, 20 analysts) → $637 (last mo, 3) (+25.3%).
Buy-rated share 78% → 81% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.39 | $2.72 | +13.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.93 | $2.13 | +10.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.59 | $1.78 | +11.9% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.48 | $1.66 | +12.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.12 | $1.36 | +21.4% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.35 | $1.77 | +31.1% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.72 | $1.78 | +3.5% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.89 | $1.44 | +61.4% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.9B— | $18.8B+11.1% | $6.3B-66.7% | $6.3B+1.0% | $9.5B+50.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.66— | $4.75+78.6% | $-5.37-213.1% | $-2.61n/m | $5.12n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $895M— | $773M-13.6% | -$1.2B-257.2% | -$781Mn/m | $1.3Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 26.7% | 31.3%+4.5pp | 22.2%-9.0pp | 28.1%+5.8pp | 38.8%+10.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 7.2% | 12.7%+5.5pp | -8.8%-21.5pp | -6.4%+2.4pp | 24.5%+30.9pp |
| Net Margin | 4.9% | 8.2%+3.4pp | -26.9%-35.1pp | -12.6%+14.3pp | 19.5%+32.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$4.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 49 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 59 for Western Digital Corporation indicates a moderately favorable outlook, driven by strong scores in Growth and Momentum, with the latter exhibiting a 12-month return of 837.6% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's Growth score is boosted by impressive revenue and EPS growth of 50.7% and 303.4%, respectively. However, the Value score is dragged down by a P/E of 31.4 and a P/B of 20.9, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score is 6 points higher than the long-term score, suggesting recent momentum may be a key driver of the overall QScore.