MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (43) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $874M— | $1.3B+47.0% | $1.7B+31.1% | $2.0B+19.2% | $2.5B+22.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-4.75— | $-5.03n/m | $-2.48n/m | $-1.73n/m | $-0.88n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1M— | -$20Mn/m | $115Mn/m | $121M+4.5% | $500M+314.6% |
| Gross Margin | 70.3% | 72.8%+2.5pp | 74.8%+2.0pp | 73.3%-1.5pp | 71.7%-1.6pp |
| Operating Margin | -33.1% | -27.0%+6.1pp | -13.9%+13.1pp | -10.8%+3.1pp | -5.6%+5.2pp |
| Net Margin | -35.1% | -26.9%+8.2pp | -10.5%+16.4pp | -6.4%+4.1pp | -2.9%+3.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$42.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 74 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 20.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $245M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $500M) · equity value $27.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $467 avg across 22 analysts.
Buy-rated share 78% → 78% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $1.62 | $1.90 | +17.3% |
| May 2026 | $1.19 | $1.32 | +10.9% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.48 | $1.65 | +11.5% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.81 | $1.32 | +64.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.67 | $1.00 | +49.3% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.67 | $1.00 | +49.7% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.66 | $1.28 | +93.6% |
| Dec 2024 | $0.68 | $1.16 | +70.6% |
The QScore of 43 for MongoDB indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth metrics and high valuation multiples. The stock scores high on growth, with revenue and EPS growth of 22.8% and 49.1%, respectively, but trades at a premium, with a P/E of 471.2. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some near-term momentum, although the stock's 12-month return is relatively flat at 0.9%. Overall, the stock exhibits strong growth, but its high valuation and negative operating margin weigh on its overall score.