MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (45) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $404 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $515 (last mo, 1) (+27.5%).
Buy-rated share 70% → 76% over ~3 months (+6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.19 | $1.32 | +10.9% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.48 | $1.65 | +11.5% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.81 | $1.32 | +64.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.67 | $1.00 | +49.3% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.67 | $1.00 | +49.7% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.66 | $1.28 | +93.6% |
| Dec 2024 | $0.68 | $1.16 | +70.6% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.49 | $0.70 | +44.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $874M— | $1.3B+47.0% | $1.7B+31.1% | $2.0B+19.2% | $2.5B+22.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-4.75— | $-5.03n/m | $-2.48n/m | $-1.73n/m | $-0.88n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$1M— | -$20Mn/m | $115Mn/m | $121M+4.5% | $500M+314.6% |
| Gross Margin | 70.3% | 72.8%+2.5pp | 74.8%+2.0pp | 73.3%-1.5pp | 71.7%-1.6pp |
| Operating Margin | -33.1% | -27.0%+6.1pp | -13.9%+13.1pp | -10.8%+3.1pp | -5.6%+5.2pp |
| Net Margin | -35.1% | -26.9%+8.2pp | -10.5%+16.4pp | -6.4%+4.1pp | -2.9%+3.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$54.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 82 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 45 for MongoDB indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a high growth score of 61, reflecting its strong revenue and earnings growth, with revenue up 22.8% and EPS growth of 49.1%. However, this is offset by a low value score of 26, due to its high valuation multiples, including a P/E of -940.7 and EV/EBITDA of 1105.9. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 4-point difference, suggesting a consistent outlook. MongoDB's stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 61.7%, but trades at a premium.