MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $199 (last qtr, 15 analysts) → $196 (last mo, 12) (-1.2%).
Buy-rated share 83% → 80% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.66 | $1.05 | +58.9% |
| May 2026 | $-0.35 | $-1.85 | -427.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $-1.02 | $-1.06 | -3.9% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.31 | $0.73 | -44.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.03 | $0.41 | -60.2% |
| May 2025 | $-0.41 | $-0.32 | +21.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $-0.93 | $0.56 | +160.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.59 | $1.66 | +4.4% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.3B— | $16.7B+166.1% | $22.7B+36.2% | $23.2B+1.9% | $25.2B+8.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-3.09— | $0.64n/m | $1.34+109.4% | $2.74+104.5% | $-0.24-108.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.6B— | $1.5B-8.6% | $888M-40.1% | $1.1B+18.3% | $305M-71.0% |
| Gross Margin | 30.5% | 26.0%-4.5pp | 24.1%-1.9pp | 25.2%+1.1pp | 23.0%-2.2pp |
| Operating Margin | -6.7% | 4.3%+11.0pp | 4.8%+0.4pp | 3.6%-1.2pp | 5.9%+2.3pp |
| Net Margin | -10.4% | 1.6%+12.0pp | 2.5%+0.9pp | 3.9%+1.4pp | 2.0%-1.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$26.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 12 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 11.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $748M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $305M) · equity value $43.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 51 for Live Nation Entertainment indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 10 points. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 18% and a bullish moving average trend, but is dragged down by its value category due to a high P/E ratio and significant price-to-book multiple. The company exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE near 73%, but its growth score is hindered by negative EPS and free cash flow growth.