MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$232K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $320 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $322 (last mo, 6) (+0.8%).
Buy-rated share 50% → 58% over ~3 months (+8pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $2.81 | $2.98 | +6.0% |
| Jul 2026 | $2.81 | $2.93 | +4.3% |
| Apr 2026 | $2.42 | $2.50 | +3.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.54 | $2.65 | +4.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.39 | $2.47 | +3.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.31 | $2.60 | +12.6% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.23 | $2.16 | -3.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.03 | $2.57 | +26.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.2B— | $3.8B+16.3% | $4.2B+11.4% | $4.0B-4.4% | $4.2B+5.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.60— | $8.04+74.8% | $9.37+16.5% | $8.15-13.0% | $9.32+14.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $303M— | $312M+3.0% | $577M+85.1% | $482M-16.3% | $534M+10.7% |
| Gross Margin | 33.0% | 34.1%+1.0pp | 35.3%+1.2pp | 36.9%+1.6pp | 36.3%-0.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 14.3% | 16.3%+2.0pp | 17.1%+0.8pp | 15.9%-1.2pp | 16.9%+1.0pp |
| Net Margin | 8.6% | 12.6%+4.0pp | 13.0%+0.5pp | 11.6%-1.4pp | 12.3%+0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.9%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $531M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $534M) · equity value $14.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 56 for Lincoln Electric Holdings indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong momentum and profitability scores of 61 and 57, respectively. However, the stock's value score of 50 is a drag, due to its premium valuation with a P/E of 26.2 and P/B of 9.6. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference, suggesting a consistent view across different time horizons, and the stock exhibits strong momentum with a 12-month return of 17.6%.