MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $264 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 75% → 86% over ~3 months (+11pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.92 | $2.08 | +8.3% |
| May 2026 | $1.72 | $1.98 | +15.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $1.79 | $1.85 | +3.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.67 | $1.78 | +6.6% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.62 | $1.64 | +1.2% |
| May 2025 | $1.44 | $1.45 | +0.7% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.48 | $1.50 | +1.4% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.44 | $1.46 | +1.4% |
Net insider -$674K over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 7 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.8B— | $3.0B+8.1% | $3.3B+9.9% | $3.6B+10.6% | $3.9B+8.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.66— | $4.38+19.7% | $4.96+13.2% | $6.30+27.0% | $6.11-3.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$96M— | $174Mn/m | $430M+147.3% | $438M+1.9% | $547M+24.8% |
| Gross Margin | 32.5% | 30.9%-1.7pp | 33.7%+2.9pp | 34.4%+0.6pp | 35.4%+1.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 18.2% | 15.7%-2.6pp | 16.1%+0.4pp | 18.6%+2.5pp | 17.4%-1.2pp |
| Net Margin | 11.4% | 12.3%+0.8pp | 12.5%+0.2pp | 14.3%+1.8pp | 12.4%-1.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 6.7%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $472M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $547M) · equity value $17.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for ITT Inc indicates a neutral outlook, driven by mixed performance across factor categories. The stock scores high on risk management, with a beta of 1.3 and relatively low volatility, but exhibits weaker profitability, with an ROE of 10.4% and operating margin of 16.0%. ITT trades at a premium, with a P/E of 38.7x, and its growth profile is uneven, with revenue growth of 8.5% but negative EPS growth. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a slight divergence.