MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (63) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $868M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $858M) · equity value $17.2B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.9B— | $4.9B+69.8% | $5.3B+8.2% | $5.7B+7.0% | $6.1B+7.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.02— | $0.88n/m | $1.04+18.2% | $0.99-4.8% | $1.10+11.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$135M— | $912Mn/m | $795M-12.8% | $950M+19.5% | $858M-9.7% |
| Gross Margin | 51.7% | 55.2%+3.6pp | 53.7%-1.6pp | 53.4%-0.3pp | 2.6%-50.7pp |
| Operating Margin | -8.7% | 15.8%+24.4pp | 15.6%-0.2pp | 15.4%-0.2pp | 13.6%-1.8pp |
| Net Margin | -0.4% | 12.9%+13.3pp | 13.9%+1.0pp | 12.3%-1.7pp | 12.5%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$4.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 6 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $26 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $25 (last mo, 3) (-2.0%).
Buy-rated share 57% → 59% over ~3 months (+2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.34 | $0.35 | +2.9% |
| May 2026 | $0.36 | $0.67 | +87.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.19 | $0.20 | +7.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.19 | $0.23 | +21.1% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.22 | $0.32 | +43.6% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.27 | $0.35 | +28.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.15 | $0.15 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.10 | $0.12 | +20.3% |
The QScore of 63 for Host Hotels & Resorts indicates a moderately favorable outlook, driven by strong momentum with a 12-month return of 55.1% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock's value score is also a positive factor, with a P/E of 17.1 and EV/EBITDA of 9.9, although its growth and profitability scores are more muted due to negative free cash flow growth and moderate return on equity of 15.5%. The short-term score is notably higher than the long-term score, suggesting recent performance has been particularly strong.