MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (61) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $123 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $128 (last mo, 4) (+3.9%).
Buy-rated share 58% → 65% over ~3 months (+7pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.70 | $1.88 | +167.4% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.74 | $1.84 | +149.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.76 | $1.77 | +0.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.73 | $1.91 | +10.4% |
| May 2025 | $1.69 | $1.70 | +0.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.73 | $1.73 | +0.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.72 | $1.71 | -0.6% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.68 | $1.69 | +0.6% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $951M— | $1.1B+12.9% | $1.1B+5.4% | $1.2B+6.2% | $1.3B+6.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.26— | $4.71+44.5% | $2.80-40.6% | $3.42+22.1% | $4.79+40.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $31M— | $100M+224.5% | $245M+144.5% | $328M+34.0% | $331M+1.0% |
| Gross Margin | 66.7% | 66.8%+0.1pp | 67.9%+1.1pp | 67.4%-0.5pp | 9.7%-57.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 41.5% | 49.0%+7.5pp | 35.9%-13.1pp | 39.3%+3.4pp | 35.9%-3.3pp |
| Net Margin | 27.5% | 35.9%+8.4pp | 20.9%-14.9pp | 24.6%+3.6pp | 32.1%+7.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
The QScore of 61 for Federal Realty Investment Trust indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 64 being slightly more favorable than the long-term score of 59. The stock scores high on momentum, with a 12-month return of 33.5% and a bullish moving average trend. However, its value and growth scores are more subdued, due in part to a P/E of 21.6 and revenue growth of 6.3%, which trails its strong EPS growth of 40.1%. The stock's risk profile is a positive factor, with a beta of 0.9 and relatively low volatility.