MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-08-16.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $951M— | $1.1B+12.9% | $1.1B+5.4% | $1.2B+6.2% | $1.3B+6.3% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.26— | $4.71+44.5% | $2.80-40.6% | $3.42+22.1% | $4.79+40.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $31M— | $100M+224.5% | $245M+144.5% | $328M+34.0% | $331M+1.0% |
| Gross Margin | 66.7% | 66.8%+0.1pp | 67.9%+1.1pp | 67.4%-0.5pp | 9.7%-57.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 41.5% | 49.0%+7.5pp | 35.9%-13.1pp | 39.3%+3.4pp | 35.9%-3.3pp |
| Net Margin | 27.5% | 35.9%+8.4pp | 20.9%-14.9pp | 24.6%+3.6pp | 32.1%+7.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $121 (last qtr, 10 analysts) → $121 (last mo, 5) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 65% → 68% over ~3 months (+3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $0.71 | $0.74 | +3.9% |
| Jul 2026 | $0.72 | $0.97 | +35.1% |
| May 2026 | $0.69 | $1.82 | +162.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.74 | $1.51 | +104.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.79 | $0.69 | -12.2% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.86 | $1.78 | +107.9% |
| May 2025 | $0.74 | $0.72 | -3.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.73 | $0.75 | +3.3% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 7.0%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $301M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $331M) · equity value $9.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net insider -$163K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 10 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 58 for Federal Realty Investment Trust indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores converging around this average level. The stock scores high on risk, with a low beta and moderate volatility, but is dragged down by relatively low scores in growth and momentum, reflecting slowing revenue growth and a recent decline in stock price. The stock trades at a P/E of 21.8 and exhibits moderate profitability, with an ROE near 13%. Overall, the score reflects a balanced but unremarkable profile.