MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (62) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $19.4B— | $20.9B+7.7% | $20.8B-0.5% | $23.4B+12.9% | $26.1B+11.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $18.47— | $13.27-28.2% | $4.67-64.8% | $11.30+142.0% | $16.40+45.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $797M— | -$6M-100.7% | $389Mn/m | $600M+54.2% | $979M+63.1% |
| Gross Margin | 56.2% | 53.7%-2.4pp | 51.5%-2.3pp | 51.8%+0.3pp | 99.0%+47.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 5.4% | 4.2%-1.2pp | 2.8%-1.4pp | 3.7%+0.9pp | 4.5%+0.8pp |
| Net Margin | 5.0% | 3.1%-1.8pp | 1.1%-2.1pp | 2.3%+1.2pp | 3.0%+0.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Buy-rated share 62% → 67% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $4.56 | $5.26 | +15.4% |
| Apr 2026 | $3.01 | $3.43 | +14.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $7.25 | $8.71 | +20.1% |
| Nov 2025 | $4.23 | $4.50 | +6.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $3.20 | $3.30 | +3.1% |
| May 2025 | $2.18 | $2.31 | +6.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $6.01 | $6.15 | +2.3% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.81 | $3.50 | +24.6% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$2.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 6.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $656M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $979M) · equity value $16.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 62 for JLL indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 66 being notably higher than the long-term score of 59. JLL scores high on momentum, driven by its 23.9% return over the past year and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. The stock also exhibits strong value characteristics, trading at a P/E of 17.3 and EV/EBITDA of 12.4, while its growth and profitability scores are more moderate, with revenue growth of 11.4% and ROE near 14%.