MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (61) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $34 (last qtr, 7 analysts) → $37 (last mo, 1) (+9.3%).
Buy-rated share 83% → 83% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $0.25 | $0.42 | +69.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.24 | $0.44 | +84.2% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.23 | $0.31 | +36.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.21 | $0.28 | +31.3% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.55 | $0.56 | +1.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.22 | $0.53 | +140.9% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.53 | $0.52 | -1.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $0.52 | $0.54 | +3.8% |
Net insider -$232K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.2B— | $1.2B+5.7% | $1.2B+2.2% | $1.3B+3.2% | $1.4B+6.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.25— | $1.17+368.0% | $1.01-13.7% | $1.11+9.9% | $1.25+12.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $552M— | $566M+2.6% | $589M+4.0% | $625M+6.1% | $652M+4.4% |
| Gross Margin | 74.2% | 74.4%+0.2pp | 74.3%-0.1pp | 75.3%+1.0pp | 75.2%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 36.6% | 36.5%-0.1pp | 64.9%+28.4pp | 36.6%-28.3pp | 36.7%+0.1pp |
| Net Margin | 23.4% | 29.1%+5.6pp | 24.5%-4.6pp | 26.4%+1.9pp | 28.2%+1.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 61 for BRX indicates a relatively neutral outlook, with the stock scoring high on momentum and risk categories, but lower on value and growth. The momentum score is driven by a 27.5% return over the past year and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. In contrast, the value score is held back by a P/E of 22.2 and EV/EBITDA of 14.0, indicating the stock trades at a premium. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, suggesting some near-term optimism.