MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (52) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider $232K over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.5B— | $3.6B+2.1% | $4.3B+19.5% | $4.6B+5.5% | $4.7B+3.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.96— | $1.44+50.0% | $1.42-1.4% | $2.14+50.7% | $2.64+23.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | $195M— | -$116M-159.6% | $258Mn/m | $344M+33.2% | $435M+26.3% |
| Gross Margin | 30.1% | 27.5%-2.6pp | 30.0%+2.5pp | 32.2%+2.1pp | 34.6%+2.4pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.1% | 5.3%-2.7pp | 9.3%+4.0pp | 11.3%+2.0pp | 13.0%+1.7pp |
| Net Margin | 3.6% | 5.2%+1.7pp | 4.3%-0.9pp | 6.2%+1.9pp | 7.3%+1.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $90 avg across 5 analysts.
Buy-rated share 64% → 64% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $0.98 | $1.07 | +9.0% |
| Jul 2026 | $0.86 | $0.95 | +10.5% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.82 | $0.85 | +3.7% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.94 | $1.11 | +18.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.80 | $0.90 | +12.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.78 | $0.91 | +16.7% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.59 | $0.72 | +22.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.77 | $0.70 | -9.1% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $346M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $435M) · equity value $10.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 52 for Flowserve Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's scores driven up by its momentum, which scores high on the back of a 14.2% return over the past year, and its relatively low risk profile, with a beta of 1.2. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 39.3, which weighs on its value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score only slightly higher at 53, indicating no significant divergence in the stock's outlook over different time horizons.