MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $43.0B— | $51.3B+19.2% | $60.2B+17.5% | $50.5B-16.1% | $44.7B-11.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $18.99— | $23.28+22.6% | $34.63+48.8% | $25.62-26.0% | $18.50-27.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.1B— | $911M-82.3% | $4.1B+352.4% | $4.4B+7.5% | $3.2B-27.0% |
| Gross Margin | 31.9% | 30.7%-1.2pp | 37.0%+6.4pp | 38.6%+1.6pp | 36.5%-2.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.8% | 17.6%-0.2pp | 24.2%+6.6pp | 22.6%-1.6pp | 18.8%-3.8pp |
| Net Margin | 13.9% | 13.9%+0.0pp | 16.9%+3.0pp | 14.1%-2.8pp | 11.3%-2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $732 avg across 4 analysts.
Buy-rated share 54% → 54% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $5.70 | $6.55 | +14.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $2.02 | $2.42 | +19.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.84 | $3.93 | +2.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $4.57 | $4.75 | +3.9% |
| May 2025 | $5.56 | $6.64 | +19.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $3.11 | $3.19 | +2.6% |
| Nov 2024 | $3.89 | $4.55 | +17.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $5.63 | $6.29 | +11.7% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 2.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.9B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.2B) · equity value $166.1B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 53 for Deere & Company indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on risk and exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 21.9% and a bullish 50-day versus 200-day moving average. However, it is dragged down by weak growth, with revenue and EPS growth both negative, and trades at a premium, with a P/E of 34.8. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 4-point difference.