MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $265 (last qtr, 12 analysts) → $284 (last mo, 9) (+7.1%).
Buy-rated share 94% → 95% over ~3 months (+1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $1.02 | $1.16 | +13.7% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.91 | $1.07 | +17.3% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.49 | $0.67 | +36.2% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.36 | $0.52 | +43.9% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.27 | $0.35 | +27.8% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.18 | $0.25 | +38.9% |
| Dec 2024 | $0.05 | $0.07 | +40.0% |
| Sep 2024 | $0.04 | $0.04 | -2.2% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $106M— | $184M+73.0% | $193M+4.8% | $437M+126.3% | $1.3B+205.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.15— | $-0.11n/m | $-0.18n/m | $0.29n/m | $2.51+765.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$48M— | -$46Mn/m | $17Mn/m | $29M+69.9% | $407M+1302.4% |
| Gross Margin | 60.1% | 57.7%-2.5pp | 61.9%+4.2pp | 64.8%+2.9pp | 68.0%+3.3pp |
| Operating Margin | -20.6% | -11.5%+9.1pp | -19.2%-7.7pp | 8.7%+27.9pp | 33.3%+24.6pp |
| Net Margin | -20.8% | -9.0%+11.8pp | -14.7%-5.7pp | 11.9%+26.6pp | 35.4%+23.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$45.4M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 93 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 54 for CRDO indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a strong growth profile and favorable momentum, with the stock exhibiting a 158.1% return over the past year and a significant revenue growth of 205.7%. However, this is offset by a low value score due to the stock trading at a premium, with a P/E of 90.8 and P/B of 21.3. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with the short-term score slightly higher at 56, suggesting that the stock's recent performance is a key factor in its overall QScore.