MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $769M— | $974M+26.7% | $1.0B+7.8% | $725M-30.9% | $890M+22.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.62— | $0.97+56.5% | $0.78-19.6% | $-0.39-150.0% | $-0.08n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $86M— | $113M+31.6% | $57M-49.8% | $22M-61.4% | $125M+468.8% |
| Gross Margin | 53.0% | 56.1%+3.1pp | 54.8%-1.3pp | 44.3%-10.4pp | 46.4%+2.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 17.8% | 20.9%+3.1pp | 18.7%-2.2pp | -2.7%-21.4pp | 4.8%+7.5pp |
| Net Margin | 15.5% | 19.2%+3.7pp | 14.6%-4.7pp | -10.1%-24.6pp | -1.7%+8.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $54 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 100% → 100% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.16 | $0.17 | +4.2% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.14 | $0.15 | +7.1% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.12 | $0.13 | +8.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.09 | $0.09 | +0.0% |
| May 2025 | $0.05 | $0.06 | +20.0% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.06 | $0.07 | +16.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.06 | $0.08 | +33.3% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.02 | $0.03 | +47.9% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$4.2M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 10 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 48 for ALGM suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and momentum, but weighed down by poor value and risk metrics. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, with notable revenue growth of 22.8% and a 12-month return of 75.7%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of -717.3 and EV/EBITDA of 140.2, contributing to a low value score, while its short-term score is slightly higher than its long-term score, indicating some near-term strength.