MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $286 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $285 (last mo, 3) (-0.2%).
Buy-rated share 93% → 97% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.56 | $0.80 | +42.1% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.83 | $1.23 | +47.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.94 | $1.46 | +55.5% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.28 | $0.61 | +115.9% |
| May 2025 | $1.10 | $1.09 | -0.9% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.64 | $0.72 | +12.5% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.42 | $0.66 | +59.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.01 | $0.05 | +314.9% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $3.5B— | $5.3B+52.6% | $5.3B-0.0% | $5.6B+5.3% | $6.7B+18.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.58— | $-7.03-296.4% | $-22.01n/m | $-25.58n/m | $-1.62n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $99M— | -$203M-304.3% | -$158Mn/m | -$215Mn/m | $462Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 56.2% | 42.7%-13.5pp | 41.9%-0.8pp | 54.4%+12.5pp | 54.2%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 13.5% | -21.5%-35.0pp | -21.4%+0.1pp | -13.1%+8.3pp | -1.3%+11.8pp |
| Net Margin | 11.9% | -21.0%-32.9pp | -70.0%-49.0pp | -79.5%-9.5pp | -4.5%+75.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$150.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 60 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 51 for TTWO suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of strong growth and momentum, but offset by poor value and profitability metrics. The stock scores high on growth, with notable revenue and EPS growth of 18.2% and 93.7%, respectively. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of -147.6 and P/B of 12.6, contributing to its low value score. The short-term score is 10 points higher than the long-term score, indicating some recent positive momentum, with a 22.5% return over the past 3 months.