MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-12.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $175 (last qtr, 5 analysts) → $175 (last mo, 5) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 11% → 6% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $2.02 | $2.15 | +6.4% |
| Jul 2026 | $1.96 | $2.01 | +2.6% |
| Apr 2026 | $1.80 | $1.88 | +4.4% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.52 | $1.56 | +2.6% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.24 | $1.32 | +6.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.10 | $1.20 | +9.1% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.12 | $1.17 | +4.5% |
| Feb 2025 | $1.01 | $1.01 | +0.0% |
Net insider -$299K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $10.9B— | $10.0B-8.1% | $9.9B-1.5% | $11.4B+15.5% | $13.4B+17.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.39— | $3.41-22.3% | $3.09-9.4% | $4.21+36.2% | $5.24+24.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.4B— | $1.9B-45.5% | $2.6B+38.3% | $3.4B+32.4% | $3.4B+1.0% |
| Gross Margin | 56.6% | 45.4%-11.2pp | 43.6%-1.7pp | 49.7%+6.1pp | 56.7%+6.9pp |
| Operating Margin | 55.5% | 44.1%-11.3pp | 42.4%-1.8pp | 48.6%+6.2pp | 52.2%+3.6pp |
| Net Margin | 31.1% | 26.3%-4.8pp | 24.5%-1.8pp | 29.5%+5.0pp | 32.3%+2.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 2.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.1B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $3.4B) · equity value $148.8B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 53 for Southern Copper Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strong profitability and momentum offset by its relatively low value score. The company scores high on profitability, driven by its high ROE of 52.0% and operating margin of 58.6%, while its growth score is supported by revenue growth of 17.4% and EPS growth of 24.5%. The stock trades at a premium, as evidenced by its P/E of 23.1 and P/B of 10.9, which contributes to its low value score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, indicating a consistent outlook.