MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $98 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $103 (last mo, 3) (+4.9%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 71% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $1.07 | $0.82 | -23.4% |
| May 2026 | $1.07 | $1.25 | +16.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.83 | $0.80 | -3.4% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.02 | $1.05 | +2.9% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.12 | $1.15 | +2.7% |
| May 2025 | $1.13 | $1.20 | +6.2% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.83 | $0.97 | +16.9% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.07 | $1.04 | -2.8% |
Net insider $19.0M over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $11.7B— | $12.4B+6.7% | $11.5B-7.7% | $11.5B+0.0% | $10.9B-5.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $1.10— | $-7.20-754.5% | $-10.06n/m | $0.95n/m | $-1.46-253.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.0B— | -$109M-110.5% | $936Mn/m | $602M-35.7% | $256M-57.5% |
| Gross Margin | 32.0% | 33.4%+1.3pp | 32.1%-1.3pp | 35.9%+3.8pp | 36.2%+0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 5.0% | -10.7%-15.7pp | -18.4%-7.7pp | 6.7%+25.1pp | 7.7%+1.1pp |
| Net Margin | 2.3% | -15.0%-17.3pp | -22.3%-7.3pp | 2.1%+24.5pp | -3.3%-5.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of -5.8%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $598M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $256M) · equity value $23.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 56 for International Flavors & Fragrances Inc. indicates a neutral outlook, with the short-term score of 62 diverging from the long-term score of 50. The stock's momentum scores high on the back of a 45.7% return over the past year and a bullish moving average trend, while its risk profile is also favorable with a beta of 0.9. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 84.9, and exhibits weak growth and profitability, including an ROE of just 2.1% and revenue growth of -5.2%.