MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Avg target $123 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 75% → 93% over ~3 months (+18pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $0.35 | $0.57 | +61.4% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.41 | $1.20 | -14.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.88 | $1.88 | +0.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.59 | $1.72 | +8.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.50 | $0.35 | -30.3% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.34 | $1.39 | +3.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.75 | $1.84 | +5.1% |
| Jul 2024 | $1.55 | $1.56 | +0.6% |
Net insider -$380K over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.1B— | $6.7B+9.8% | $7.3B+8.2% | $7.3B+1.1% | $7.4B+0.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.87— | $3.79-2.1% | $3.72-1.8% | $4.56+22.6% | $5.35+17.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $609M— | -$44M-107.2% | $323Mn/m | $908M+181.5% | $538M-40.7% |
| Gross Margin | 39.4% | 35.9%-3.5pp | 37.9%+2.0pp | 41.1%+3.2pp | 41.4%+0.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 11.9% | 9.4%-2.5pp | 10.8%+1.4pp | 12.0%+1.3pp | 12.3%+0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 8.2% | 7.3%-0.9pp | 6.6%-0.7pp | 8.0%+1.4pp | 9.3%+1.3pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 56 for RPM International indicates a neutral outlook, driven by a relatively strong risk profile and decent profitability, with scores of 71 and 54, respectively. However, the stock's value and growth categories score lower, at 52 and 46, due to a P/E of 21.5 and sluggish revenue growth of 0.5%. Momentum is moderate, with a 12-month return of 3.2% and a recent 3-month surge of 14.3%, while the long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting no major divergence in the stock's outlook.