MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (58) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.7B— | $7.3B+8.2% | $7.3B+1.1% | $7.4B+0.5% | $7.9B+6.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $3.79— | $3.72-1.8% | $4.56+22.6% | $5.35+17.3% | $5.17-3.4% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$44M— | $323Mn/m | $908M+181.5% | $538M-40.7% | $675M+25.4% |
| Gross Margin | 35.9% | 37.9%+2.0pp | 41.1%+3.2pp | 41.4%+0.3pp | 41.4%+0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 9.4% | 10.8%+1.4pp | 12.0%+1.3pp | 12.3%+0.3pp | 11.7%-0.5pp |
| Net Margin | 7.3% | 6.6%-0.7pp | 8.0%+1.4pp | 9.3%+1.3pp | 8.4%-0.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
No recent open-market insider transactions.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $135 (last qtr, 8 analysts) → $135 (last mo, 6) (-0.4%).
Buy-rated share 87% → 93% over ~3 months (+6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $1.83 | $1.89 | +3.3% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.35 | $0.57 | +61.4% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.41 | $1.20 | -14.9% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.88 | $1.88 | +0.0% |
| Jul 2025 | $1.59 | $1.72 | +8.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.50 | $0.35 | -30.3% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.34 | $1.39 | +3.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $1.75 | $1.84 | +5.1% |
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 3.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $707M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $675M) · equity value $14.5B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 58 for RPM International indicates a moderately attractive stock, with the short-term score slightly outpacing the long-term score. RPM scores high on risk, with a low beta and moderate volatility, but trails in growth, due to a decline in EPS growth despite strong revenue and free cash flow growth. The stock exhibits strong momentum, with a 17.5% return over the past three months, and trades at a P/E of 21.9, which is relatively in line with industry peers.