MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (56) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Avg target $25 (last qtr, 3 analysts) → $25 (last mo, 3) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 91% → 82% over ~3 months (-9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $0.26 | $0.12 | -53.5% |
| May 2026 | $0.37 | $0.36 | -1.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.39 | $0.35 | -10.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.25 | $0.23 | -8.0% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.18 | $0.20 | +11.1% |
| May 2025 | $0.02 | $0.11 | +450.0% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.11 | $0.11 | +0.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $0.07 | $0.12 | +71.4% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$715K over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 1 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $833M— | $786M-5.7% | $821M+4.5% | $1.1B+28.3% | $2.1B+96.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.13— | $-0.28n/m | $-0.30n/m | $0.15n/m | $0.90+500.0% |
| Free Cash Flow | -$199M— | -$327Mn/m | -$297Mn/m | -$9Mn/m | $666Mn/m |
| Gross Margin | 34.0% | 17.6%-16.4pp | 16.3%-1.3pp | 39.4%+23.1pp | 39.3%-0.1pp |
| Operating Margin | 23.0% | -5.0%-28.0pp | -4.7%+0.3pp | 15.6%+20.3pp | 36.3%+20.7pp |
| Net Margin | -3.8% | -9.9%-6.2pp | -12.6%-2.7pp | 5.6%+18.2pp | 28.3%+22.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 11.4%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $120M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $666M) · equity value $18.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 56 for Coeur Mining indicates a neutral outlook, driven by strong growth scores, with revenue and EPS growth near 100% and 500% respectively, but offset by lower value and risk scores, with a P/E of 14.6 and beta of 1.3. The stock exhibits strong momentum over the past year, with a 54.7% return, but has recently pulled back, with a 3-month decline of 7.1%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.