MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (60) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $16.8B— | $15.6B-7.1% | $16.2B+4.0% | $15.8B-2.4% | $15.9B+0.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $6.01— | $4.32-28.1% | $5.35+23.8% | $4.75-11.2% | $6.92+45.7% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.2B— | $477M-59.9% | $1.9B+297.3% | $699M-63.1% | $1.2B+66.4% |
| Gross Margin | 38.8% | 36.1%-2.7pp | 40.4%+4.3pp | 41.6%+1.2pp | 38.0%-3.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 10.0% | 10.7%+0.6pp | 12.5%+1.9pp | 14.4%+1.9pp | 13.7%-0.8pp |
| Net Margin | 8.6% | 6.6%-2.0pp | 7.8%+1.2pp | 7.0%-0.8pp | 9.9%+2.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider $1K over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $130 (last qtr, 2 analysts) → $140 (last mo, 1) (+8.1%).
Buy-rated share 44% → 43% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.78 | $1.83 | +2.8% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.58 | $1.51 | -4.4% |
| Oct 2025 | $2.10 | $2.13 | +1.4% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.23 | $2.22 | -0.4% |
| Apr 2025 | $1.62 | $1.72 | +6.2% |
| Jan 2025 | $1.64 | $1.61 | -1.8% |
| Oct 2024 | $2.15 | $2.13 | -0.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $2.48 | $2.50 | +0.8% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 60 indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong momentum and lower risk, with a score of 63 and 72, respectively. The stock's value and profitability scores are more neutral, at 55 and 56, due to a P/E of 17.5 and ROE near 32%. The growth score is the weakest category, at 47, despite strong EPS growth of 45.9%, due to low revenue growth of 0.2%. The short-term score is slightly higher than the long-term score, at 61 versus 58.