MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (57) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $252 avg across 11 analysts.
Buy-rated share 75% → 74% over ~3 months (-1pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $1.73 | $2.02 | +16.8% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.90 | $2.00 | +5.3% |
| Nov 2025 | $1.42 | $1.58 | +11.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $1.53 | $1.56 | +2.0% |
| May 2025 | $1.44 | $1.47 | +2.1% |
| Mar 2025 | $1.66 | $1.79 | +7.8% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.41 | $1.48 | +5.0% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.50 | $1.59 | +6.0% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $18.9B— | $18.7B-1.2% | $20.4B+9.0% | $21.1B+3.7% | $22.8B+7.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.87— | $4.38-10.1% | $5.56+26.9% | $6.32+13.7% | $6.61+4.6% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.2B— | $1.0B-12.3% | $1.8B+69.2% | $1.6B-6.6% | $2.2B+34.9% |
| Gross Margin | 27.5% | 25.4%-2.1pp | 27.4%+2.0pp | 27.8%+0.4pp | 27.9%+0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.3% | 10.6%-1.7pp | 11.3%+0.7pp | 12.2%+0.9pp | 11.9%-0.3pp |
| Net Margin | 9.1% | 8.1%-1.0pp | 9.2%+1.1pp | 9.9%+0.7pp | 9.4%-0.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$10.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.5%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $1.9B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $2.2B) · equity value $78.9B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 57 for Ross Stores indicates a moderately attractive stock, driven by strong momentum and relatively low risk. The company exhibits strong momentum, with a 12-month return of 66.6% and a bullish moving average trend. However, its value score is dragged down by a P/E of 34.1 and a P/B of 12.4, indicating a premium valuation. The short-term score of 61 diverges from the long-term score of 53, suggesting a recent uptrend may be driving the stock's current appeal.