MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (54) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $6.2B— | $6.4B+3.6% | $6.6B+2.9% | $7.1B+6.7% | $8.1B+14.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $8.08— | $7.58-6.2% | $9.72+28.2% | $11.61+19.4% | $15.11+30.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $549M— | $194M-64.8% | $905M+367.6% | $1.0B+12.6% | $746M-26.8% |
| Gross Margin | 66.7% | 64.7%-2.0pp | 66.8%+2.2pp | 68.6%+1.7pp | 69.9%+1.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.8% | 10.9%-1.9pp | 11.4%+0.5pp | 13.2%+1.8pp | 14.5%+1.4pp |
| Net Margin | 9.7% | 8.1%-1.5pp | 9.7%+1.6pp | 10.5%+0.7pp | 11.6%+1.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$102.5M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 5.4%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $890M (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $746M) · equity value $23.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $445 (last qtr, 16 analysts) → $445 (last mo, 10) (+0.0%).
Buy-rated share 80% → 89% over ~3 months (+9pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2026 | $4.32 | $4.59 | +6.2% |
| May 2026 | $2.55 | $2.80 | +9.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $5.80 | $6.22 | +7.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.45 | $3.79 | +9.9% |
| Aug 2025 | $3.51 | $3.77 | +7.4% |
| May 2025 | $2.04 | $2.27 | +11.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $4.46 | $4.82 | +8.1% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.41 | $2.54 | +5.4% |
The QScore of 54 for Ralph Lauren Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on growth and momentum, with revenue growth of 14.6% and a 12-month return of 28.8%, as well as strong profitability with an ROE of 35.6%. However, it trades at a premium, with a P/E of 23.9 and P/B of 8.5, contributing to a lower value score, while risk factors such as a beta of 1.4 also weigh on the overall score. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 2-point difference.