MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (31) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$1.9M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 10 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $55M— | $1.7B+2914.5% | $4.4B+167.4% | $5.0B+12.1% | $5.4B+8.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-22.98— | $-7.40n/m | $-5.74n/m | $-4.69n/m | $-3.07n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$4.4B— | -$6.4Bn/m | -$5.9Bn/m | -$2.9Bn/m | -$2.5Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | -845.5% | -188.4%+657.1pp | -45.8%+142.6pp | -24.1%+21.6pp | 2.7%+26.8pp |
| Operating Margin | -7672.7% | -413.5%+7259.2pp | -129.4%+284.1pp | -94.3%+35.1pp | -66.5%+27.8pp |
| Net Margin | -8523.6% | -407.2%+8116.4pp | -122.5%+284.7pp | -95.5%+27.0pp | -67.7%+27.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $19 (last qtr, 4 analysts) → $17 (last mo, 3) (-6.3%).
Buy-rated share 46% → 52% over ~3 months (+5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $-0.64 | $-0.48 | +25.4% |
| Jul 2026 | $-0.66 | $-0.47 | +29.1% |
| Apr 2026 | $-0.63 | $-0.55 | +13.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $-0.71 | $-0.54 | +23.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $-0.74 | $-0.70 | +5.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $-0.65 | $-0.80 | -23.7% |
| May 2025 | $-0.77 | $-0.41 | +46.8% |
| Feb 2025 | $-0.69 | $-0.52 | +24.6% |
The QScore of 31 for Rivian Automotive indicates a relatively weak overall assessment, driven down by poor profitability and value scores, with a profitability score of 9 due to a negative ROE of -60.1% and an operating margin of -52.9%. The stock's growth score of 52 is a positive factor, driven by revenue growth of 8.4% and EPS growth of 34.5%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with the short-term score slightly higher at 33, and the stock exhibits weak momentum with a 12-month return of -11.3% and a 3-month return of -20.8%.