MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Not enough return history to estimate factor exposures — 24 of 36 months required. This stock is too recently listed (or has too short a price history) for a reliable Fama-French regression.
Avg target $86 (last qtr, 13 analysts) → $92 (last mo, 9) (+6.9%).
Buy-rated share 96% → 100% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $-0.03 | $0.16 | +637.5% |
| Mar 2026 | $-0.11 | $0.04 | +136.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $-0.17 | $0.10 | +158.9% |
| Sep 2025 | $-0.34 | $-0.03 | +91.1% |
| Jun 2025 | $-0.32 | $-0.15 | +53.3% |
| Mar 2025 | $-0.39 | $-0.18 | +53.7% |
| Dec 2024 | $-0.40 | $-0.21 | +47.5% |
| Sep 2024 | $-0.49 | $-0.40 | +17.7% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $506M— | $600M+18.5% | $628M+4.7% | $887M+41.2% | $1.3B+48.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-1.45— | $-1.58n/m | $-2.01n/m | $-7.48n/m | $-1.78n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | -$103M— | -$15Mn/m | -$17Mn/m | $31Mn/m | $253M+708.1% |
| Gross Margin | 53.3% | 53.4%+0.1pp | 62.1%+8.7pp | 70.0%+8.0pp | 80.1%+10.1pp |
| Operating Margin | -49.4% | -43.6%+5.7pp | -48.8%-5.2pp | -127.9%-79.1pp | -26.2%+101.7pp |
| Net Margin | -50.3% | -46.3%+4.0pp | -56.4%-10.1pp | -130.3%-73.9pp | -26.5%+103.8pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$22.6M over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 44 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 49 for RBRK suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's strong growth prospects offset by its rich valuation and inconsistent profitability. The growth category scores high on revenue and earnings growth, with notable increases of 48.5% and 76.2%, respectively. However, the value category is a significant drag, with the stock trading at a premium as evidenced by its negative P/E and EV/EBITDA ratios. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with a slight divergence of 5 points, indicating some near-term momentum with a 52% return over the past 3 months.