MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $33.6B— | $44.2B+31.7% | $35.8B-19.0% | $39.0B+8.8% | $44.3B+13.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.87— | $11.38+44.6% | $6.42-43.6% | $8.98+39.9% | $5.01-44.2% |
| Free Cash Flow | $8.6B— | $6.8B-21.0% | $9.8B+44.1% | $11.2B+13.3% | $12.8B+14.9% |
| Gross Margin | 57.5% | 57.8%+0.3pp | 55.7%-2.1pp | 56.2%+0.5pp | 55.4%-0.8pp |
| Operating Margin | 29.2% | 35.9%+6.7pp | 21.7%-14.1pp | 25.8%+4.1pp | 27.9%+2.1pp |
| Net Margin | 26.9% | 29.3%+2.3pp | 20.2%-9.1pp | 26.0%+5.8pp | 12.5%-13.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$6.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 52 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $202 (last qtr, 27 analysts) → $227 (last mo, 11) (+12.3%).
Buy-rated share 33% → 30% over ~3 months (-3pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $2.56 | $2.65 | +3.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.39 | $3.50 | +3.2% |
| Nov 2025 | $2.87 | $3.00 | +4.5% |
| Jul 2025 | $2.71 | $2.77 | +2.2% |
| Apr 2025 | $2.82 | $2.85 | +1.1% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.96 | $3.41 | +15.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.56 | $2.69 | +5.1% |
| Jul 2024 | $2.25 | $2.33 | +3.6% |
The QScore of 50 indicates a neutral outlook for QCOM, with the long-term and short-term scores diverging slightly. QCOM scores high on value and profitability, driven by its reasonable P/E of 20.3 and strong ROE near 40%. However, the stock's growth score is dragged down by a significant decline in EPS growth, while its momentum is boosted by a 45% return over the past three months and a bullish moving average trend. The risk score is moderate, reflecting a beta of 1.6 and relatively high volatility.