MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (47) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net insider -$48.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 63 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.5B— | $6.9B+25.3% | $8.0B+16.5% | $9.2B+14.9% | $11.5B+24.5% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.45— | $0.64n/m | $3.64+468.8% | $1.60-56.0% | $0.44-72.5% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B— | $2.6B+46.8% | $3.1B+17.8% | $3.5B+11.9% | $4.1B+18.5% |
| Gross Margin | 68.8% | 72.3%+3.5pp | 74.3%+2.1pp | 73.4%-0.9pp | 70.4%-3.1pp |
| Operating Margin | -3.4% | 5.6%+9.1pp | 8.5%+2.9pp | 13.5%+5.0pp | 6.1%-7.4pp |
| Net Margin | -4.9% | 6.4%+11.2pp | 32.1%+25.7pp | 12.3%-19.8pp | 2.7%-9.6pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 13.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.6B (avg FY2024–FY2026; latest year $4.1B) · equity value $295.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $409 avg across 34 analysts.
Buy-rated share 80% → 75% over ~3 months (-5pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2026 | $0.98 | $1.02 | +4.3% |
| Jun 2026 | $0.79 | $0.85 | +7.2% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.94 | $1.03 | +9.7% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.89 | $0.93 | +4.4% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.89 | $0.95 | +7.3% |
| May 2025 | $0.77 | $0.80 | +3.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.78 | $0.81 | +4.0% |
| Nov 2024 | $1.48 | $0.78 | -47.3% |
PANW's QScore of 47 indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 10 points. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by a 68.5% return over the past year, but is held back by its value category, which is negatively impacted by a high P/E of 784.1. The company exhibits strong revenue growth of 24.5%, but its profitability metrics, such as an ROE of 1.7%, are relatively low. Overall, PANW trades at a premium, with its valuation metrics offset by its positive momentum and low risk profile, as evidenced by a beta of 0.9.