MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (44) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
The QScore of 44 for Oracle Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's value and profitability scores driving it up, while growth and momentum scores pull it down. Oracle trades at a P/E of 25.0 and exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE near 50%. However, its growth score is hindered by a significant decline in free cash flow growth, and its momentum score reflects a -29.5% return over the past year, with a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with only a 4-point divergence.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $255 (last qtr, 21 analysts) → $260 (last mo, 16) (+2.0%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 84% over ~3 months (+8pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $1.96 | $2.11 | +7.7% |
| Mar 2026 | $1.70 | $1.79 | +5.3% |
| Dec 2025 | $1.64 | $2.26 | +37.8% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.48 | $1.47 | -0.7% |
| Jun 2025 | $1.64 | $1.70 | +3.7% |
| Mar 2025 | $1.49 | $1.47 | -1.3% |
| Dec 2024 | $1.48 | $1.47 | -0.7% |
| Sep 2024 | $1.33 | $1.39 | +4.5% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $42.4B— | $50.0B+17.7% | $53.0B+6.0% | $57.4B+8.4% | $67.4B+17.4% |
| EPS (dil.) | $2.41— | $3.07+27.4% | $3.71+20.8% | $4.34+17.0% | $5.83+34.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $5.0B— | $8.5B+68.5% | $11.8B+39.4% | -$394M-103.3% | -$23.7Bn/m |
| Gross Margin | 79.1% | 72.8%-6.2pp | 71.4%-1.4pp | 70.5%-0.9pp | 65.2%-5.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 25.7% | 26.2%+0.5pp | 29.0%+2.8pp | 30.8%+1.8pp | 30.8%+0.0pp |
| Net Margin | 15.8% | 17.0%+1.2pp | 19.8%+2.7pp | 21.7%+1.9pp | 25.4%+3.7pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$74.7M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.