MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.9B— | $7.2B+22.9% | $9.0B+23.8% | $11.0B+22.4% | $13.3B+20.9% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.23— | $0.32+39.1% | $1.68+425.0% | $1.37-18.5% | $1.67+21.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $1.8B— | $2.2B+21.3% | $2.7B+24.4% | $3.4B+26.3% | $4.6B+34.0% |
| Gross Margin | 77.1% | 78.3%+1.2pp | 78.6%+0.3pp | 79.2%+0.6pp | 77.5%-1.6pp |
| Operating Margin | 4.4% | 4.9%+0.5pp | 8.5%+3.6pp | 12.4%+3.9pp | 13.7%+1.3pp |
| Net Margin | 3.9% | 4.5%+0.6pp | 19.3%+14.8pp | 13.0%-6.3pp | 13.2%+0.2pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $151 (last qtr, 15 analysts) → $157 (last mo, 11) (+4.4%).
Buy-rated share 90% → 90% over ~3 months (+0pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.86 | $0.90 | +4.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.97 | $0.97 | +0.0% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.89 | $0.92 | +4.0% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.85 | $0.96 | +13.3% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.71 | $0.82 | +14.7% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.77 | $0.81 | +5.5% |
| Jan 2025 | $0.73 | $0.73 | +0.5% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.69 | $0.41 | -40.0% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$1.8M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 3 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 17.6%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $3.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $4.6B) · equity value $126.4B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 55 for ServiceNow indicates a neutral outlook, with the stock's high valuation offset by its strong growth and profitability metrics. The stock scores low on Value due to its high P/E of 75.9 and P/B of 10.1, but exhibits strong momentum with a 40.1% return over the past three months. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, suggesting a consistent view of the stock's prospects, with Growth and Profitability categories driving the score up, while Value pulls it down.