MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (51) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 | FY2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.5B— | $5.9B+32.7% | $5.5B-7.0% | $5.8B+4.7% | $8.2B+42.1% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-0.53— | $-0.19n/m | $-1.08n/m | $-1.02n/m | $3.07n/m |
| Free Cash Flow | $632M— | $1.1B+69.4% | $1.0B-4.8% | $1.4B+36.2% | $1.4B+0.5% |
| Gross Margin | 46.3% | 50.5%+4.2pp | 41.6%-8.8pp | 41.3%-0.3pp | 51.0%+9.7pp |
| Operating Margin | -7.8% | 4.0%+11.8pp | -10.3%-14.3pp | -12.5%-2.2pp | 16.3%+28.8pp |
| Net Margin | -9.4% | -2.8%+6.7pp | -16.9%-14.2pp | -15.3%+1.6pp | 32.6%+47.9pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Avg target $224 (last qtr, 38 analysts) → $350 (last mo, 4) (+56.4%).
Buy-rated share 77% → 85% over ~3 months (+8pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $0.80 | $0.80 | +0.3% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.79 | $0.80 | +1.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.74 | $0.76 | +2.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.67 | $0.67 | -0.4% |
| May 2025 | $0.61 | $0.62 | +1.3% |
| Mar 2025 | $0.59 | $0.60 | +1.7% |
| Dec 2024 | $0.41 | $0.43 | +4.9% |
| Aug 2024 | $0.29 | $0.30 | +2.2% |
Net insider -$20.3M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 10 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 51 for MRVL suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 9 points. MRVL scores high on growth and momentum, driven by its strong revenue and EPS growth, as well as a 251.3% return over the past year. However, the stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 90.8, which weighs on its value score. Additionally, its high beta and volatility contribute to a low risk score, while its profitability metrics, such as an ROE of 16.8%, are relatively modest.