MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (49) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $23.2B— | $23.2B-0.2% | $25.5B+10.0% | $25.9B+1.7% | $26.9B+3.7% |
| EPS (dil.) | $10.04— | $8.33-17.0% | $11.56+38.8% | $11.39-1.5% | $11.95+4.9% |
| Free Cash Flow | $7.1B— | $5.5B-22.7% | $7.3B+32.2% | $6.7B-8.0% | $7.2B+7.7% |
| Gross Margin | 54.2% | 57.0%+2.8pp | 57.1%+0.2pp | 56.8%-0.4pp | 57.4%+0.7pp |
| Operating Margin | 44.6% | 40.4%-4.2pp | 45.7%+5.3pp | 45.2%-0.5pp | 46.1%+0.9pp |
| Net Margin | 32.5% | 26.6%-5.8pp | 33.2%+6.6pp | 31.7%-1.5pp | 31.9%+0.1pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net insider -$25.6M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 14 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $326 (last qtr, 6 analysts) → $0 (last mo, 0) (-100.0%).
Buy-rated share 54% → 56% over ~3 months (+2pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $2.74 | $2.83 | +3.3% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.05 | $3.12 | +2.3% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.33 | $3.22 | -3.3% |
| Aug 2025 | $3.14 | $3.19 | +1.6% |
| May 2025 | $2.66 | $2.67 | +0.4% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.85 | $2.83 | -0.7% |
| Oct 2024 | $3.20 | $3.23 | +0.9% |
| Jul 2024 | $3.07 | $2.97 | -3.3% |
The QScore of 49 for McDonald's Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores relatively aligned. The stock scores high on profitability, with a strong operating margin and high gross margin, but is dragged down by its value and momentum scores, which are negatively impacted by its premium valuation and recent price decline of -12.7% over the past three months. The stock trades at a P/E of 22.2 and exhibits strong profitability metrics, including an operating margin of 46.0% and an ROA of 14.5%.