MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (55) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider $98K over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 5 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Avg target $395 (last qtr, 19 analysts) → $341 (last mo, 4) (-13.8%).
Buy-rated share 83% → 69% over ~3 months (-14pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $12.57 | $12.80 | +1.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.68 | $4.15 | +12.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.09 | $3.34 | +8.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.66 | $2.75 | +3.4% |
| May 2025 | $10.93 | $11.65 | +6.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.57 | $3.32 | +29.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.35 | $2.50 | +6.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.85 | $1.99 | +7.6% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.6B— | $12.7B+32.1% | $14.4B+12.9% | $16.3B+13.3% | $18.8B+15.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.55— | $7.27-3.7% | $8.42+15.8% | $10.43+23.9% | $13.67+31.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.1B— | $3.7B+17.1% | $4.8B+30.8% | $4.6B-3.2% | $6.1B+31.3% |
| Gross Margin | 82.5% | 81.1%-1.4pp | 78.1%-3.0pp | 78.7%+0.6pp | 80.8%+2.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 26.0% | 20.2%-5.7pp | 21.9%+1.7pp | 22.3%+0.4pp | 26.1%+3.9pp |
| Net Margin | 21.4% | 16.2%-5.2pp | 16.6%+0.4pp | 18.2%+1.6pp | 20.5%+2.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 13.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $5.2B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $6.1B) · equity value $91.6B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 55 for Intuit Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, with the company scoring high on profitability and risk management, but lower on growth and momentum. The value category is moderately priced, with a P/E of 20.2 and P/B of 4.5. Notably, the company exhibits strong profitability, with an ROE of 23.3% and operating margin of 27.5%, but its momentum is weak, with a 12-month return of -52.6% and a bearish 50-day versus 200-day moving average trend. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively aligned, with only a 3-point difference.