MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (53) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $9.6B— | $12.7B+32.1% | $14.4B+12.9% | $16.3B+13.3% | $18.8B+15.6% |
| EPS (dil.) | $7.55— | $7.27-3.7% | $8.42+15.8% | $10.43+23.9% | $13.67+31.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.1B— | $3.7B+17.1% | $4.8B+30.8% | $4.6B-3.2% | $6.1B+31.3% |
| Gross Margin | 82.5% | 81.1%-1.4pp | 78.1%-3.0pp | 78.7%+0.6pp | 80.8%+2.0pp |
| Operating Margin | 26.0% | 20.2%-5.7pp | 21.9%+1.7pp | 22.3%+0.4pp | 26.1%+3.9pp |
| Net Margin | 21.4% | 16.2%-5.2pp | 16.6%+0.4pp | 18.2%+1.6pp | 20.5%+2.4pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Avg target $410 (last qtr, 15 analysts) → $276 (last mo, 2) (-32.8%).
Buy-rated share 76% → 80% over ~3 months (+4pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $12.57 | $12.80 | +1.8% |
| Feb 2026 | $3.68 | $4.15 | +12.8% |
| Nov 2025 | $3.09 | $3.34 | +8.1% |
| Aug 2025 | $2.66 | $2.75 | +3.4% |
| May 2025 | $10.93 | $11.65 | +6.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $2.57 | $3.32 | +29.2% |
| Nov 2024 | $2.35 | $2.50 | +6.4% |
| Aug 2024 | $1.85 | $1.99 | +7.6% |
Net insider -$359K over 180 days (2 open-market buys, 8 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
The QScore of 53 for Intuit Inc. suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of positive and negative factors. The stock scores high on profitability, with a strong ROE of 23.3% and operating margin of 27.5%, and also exhibits relatively low risk with a beta of 1.0. However, its momentum is weak, with a 12-month return of -64.7% and a bearish moving average trend, which pulls the overall score down, particularly in the short-term, where the score is 7 points lower than the long-term score.