MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (48) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.4B— | $3.3B+126.4% | $3.6B+10.3% | $3.3B-8.7% | $7.2B+117.0% |
| EPS (dil.) | $-2.14— | $4.09n/m | $2.04-50.1% | $12.65+520.1% | $-0.54-104.3% |
| Free Cash Flow | $204M— | $473M+131.9% | $602M+27.3% | $463M-23.1% | $159M-65.7% |
| Gross Margin | 33.3% | 39.7%+6.5pp | 38.6%-1.2pp | 42.5%+4.0pp | 11.2%-31.3pp |
| Operating Margin | 8.0% | 26.4%+18.5pp | 22.6%-3.9pp | 25.9%+3.4pp | 7.8%-18.1pp |
| Net Margin | -15.4% | 13.9%+29.3pp | 6.1%-7.8pp | 39.3%+33.2pp | -0.7%-40.0pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth above the analyst consensus of 7.2%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $408M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $159M) · equity value $17.0B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Avg target $204 (last qtr, 11 analysts) → $208 (last mo, 5) (+1.8%).
Buy-rated share 58% → 64% over ~3 months (+6pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2026 | $0.76 | $1.27 | +67.1% |
| Jul 2026 | $0.91 | $1.12 | +22.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.56 | $0.63 | +11.5% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.29 | $1.33 | +358.6% |
| Nov 2025 | $0.46 | $-0.30 | -165.6% |
| Aug 2025 | $0.62 | $1.53 | +146.8% |
| May 2025 | $0.30 | $0.46 | +53.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.68 | $0.42 | -38.2% |
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider -$31.0M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 35 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
The QScore of 48 for Hyatt Hotels Corporation suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's short-term score exceeding its long-term score by 8 points. The stock scores high on momentum, exhibiting strong price appreciation over the past year with a 25.4% return, but is dragged down by its low value score due to a high P/E of 91.1 and P/B of 5.3, indicating it trades at a premium. Growth scores are also mixed, with significant revenue growth of 117% offset by declines in EPS and FCF growth.