MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (40) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $16 avg across 5 analysts.
Buy-rated share 26% → 36% over ~3 months (+10pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.33 | $0.42 | +27.3% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.20 | $0.66 | +230.0% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.18 | $0.13 | -27.5% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.35 | $0.45 | +27.2% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.33 | $0.37 | +11.9% |
| May 2025 | $-0.00 | $0.14 | +4355.3% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.35 | $0.39 | +11.4% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.46 | $0.49 | +5.5% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $136.3B— | $158.1B+15.9% | $176.2B+11.5% | $185.0B+5.0% | $187.3B+1.2% |
| EPS (dil.) | $4.45— | $-0.49-111.0% | $1.08n/m | $1.46+35.2% | $-2.06-241.1% |
| Free Cash Flow | $9.6B— | -$13M-100.1% | $6.7Bn/m | $6.7B+0.9% | $12.5B+85.0% |
| Gross Margin | 18.0% | 15.9%-2.1pp | 13.8%-2.1pp | 12.7%-1.1pp | 12.2%-0.5pp |
| Operating Margin | 3.7% | 4.1%+0.4pp | 3.1%-1.0pp | 2.8%-0.3pp | 1.4%-1.4pp |
| Net Margin | 13.2% | -1.3%-14.4pp | 2.5%+3.7pp | 3.2%+0.7pp | -4.4%-7.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Net insider $149K over 180 days (1 open-market buys, 0 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 2.3%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $8.6B (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $12.5B) · equity value $55.7B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
The QScore of 40 for Ford Motor Company suggests a neutral outlook, driven by a mix of factors. The stock scores high on momentum, exhibiting strong 12-month returns of 24.2%, but is dragged down by low growth and profitability scores, with notably negative EPS growth of -239.2% and an ROE of -18.9%. The long-term and short-term scores are relatively close, with a slight divergence of 6 points, indicating some near-term optimism. Ford's valuation metrics, such as a P/E of -7.5, also contribute to its low value score.