MEDIUM confidence: 100% data completeness, but the composite (50) sits in the indecisive 30–70 range — strong-buy and short calls require a more decisive composite. What does confidence mean?
Technical context for active traders — derived from price, the 50/200-day moving averages, the 52-week range, and recent volume. Not part of the QScore.
Dated events from the market calendar; the “also watch” items are AI-generated observations from QScoring data. Informational only — not investment advice, and dates can change.
Fama-French 5-factor (2×3) + Momentum, monthly OLS with Newey-West errors. Bars show signed factor betas; faded bars/figures aren't statistically significant.
AI classification of policy/regulatory sensitivity from the company's sector, industry, and business description. Exposure/sensitivity only — not a political opinion, a prediction of government action, or investment advice. As of 2026-07-10.
Net insider -$15.9M over 180 days (0 open-market buys, 4 sells). Insider buying is the informative signal; routine selling is normal.
Short interest, days-to-cover, and institutional-ownership change require a data-plan upgrade (not yet available).
Forward-return IC, quintile spread & hit rate publish on /performance as the tracking panel accrues enough no-look-ahead history.
Net buyback (repurchases less issuance) ÷ market cap, plus trailing dividend yield.
Working the DCF backward: holding the assumptions below, this is the free-cash-flow growth today's price implies over the next 10 years. It is a read on the price's embedded expectations — not a fair-value or target price.
The price implies FCF growth below the analyst consensus of 14.1%/yr (revenue basis).
Base free cash flow $268M (avg FY2023–FY2025; latest year $228M) · equity value $9.5B · levered FCF discounted at the cost of equity. Reverse DCF is illustrative, not advice.
Fewer than 3 analysts refreshed a price target in the last month, so no revision can be computed. Prior quarter: $49 avg across 5 analysts.
Buy-rated share 90% → 75% over ~3 months (-15pp).
| Quarter | Est. | Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2026 | $0.43 | $0.47 | +8.7% |
| Apr 2026 | $0.38 | $0.41 | +7.9% |
| Feb 2026 | $0.36 | $0.37 | +2.8% |
| Oct 2025 | $0.39 | $0.41 | +5.1% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.36 | $0.37 | +2.8% |
| Apr 2025 | $0.33 | $0.34 | +4.6% |
| Feb 2025 | $0.35 | $0.35 | +0.0% |
| Oct 2024 | $0.38 | $0.39 | +2.6% |
| Metric (USD) | FY2021 | FY2022 | FY2023 | FY2024 | FY2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $2.4B— | $2.5B+6.2% | $2.3B-8.5% | $2.5B+5.3% | $2.6B+3.8% |
| EPS (dil.) | $0.82— | $0.75-8.5% | $0.49-34.7% | $1.01+106.1% | $0.79-21.8% |
| Free Cash Flow | $276M— | $250M-9.5% | $283M+13.3% | $294M+3.7% | $228M-22.5% |
| Gross Margin | 40.0% | 37.4%-2.7pp | 39.4%+2.0pp | 42.2%+2.8pp | 42.0%-0.2pp |
| Operating Margin | 12.5% | 12.8%+0.3pp | 7.4%-5.3pp | 14.0%+6.6pp | 13.4%-0.6pp |
| Net Margin | 8.5% | 7.3%-1.1pp | 5.1%-2.3pp | 9.9%+4.9pp | 7.5%-2.5pp |
Absolute figures with year-over-year change. Margins show the level with the change in percentage points (pp). “n/m” = not meaningful (prior ≤ 0); ⚠ marks a large percentage off a small base — read the dollar figure.
The QScore of 50 for Element Solutions Inc suggests a neutral outlook, with the stock's long-term and short-term scores diverging slightly. The stock scores high on momentum, driven by its +57% return over the past year, but is dragged down by its relatively low growth and profitability scores, reflecting its -21.8% EPS growth and ROE near 7%. The stock trades at a premium, with a P/E of 52.8x, contributing to its mediocre value score.